Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004042 0.004423 0.004831 0.005304 0.005836 0.006420 0.007112
2025-10-26 0.003380 0.003906 0.004512 0.005266 0.006188 0.007289 0.008719
2025-11-02 0.002973 0.003558 0.004263 0.005187 0.006381 0.007896 0.010001
2025-11-09 0.002718 0.003345 0.004129 0.005198 0.006646 0.008581 0.011434
2025-11-16 0.002493 0.003138 0.003970 0.005143 0.006795 0.009101 0.012687
2025-11-23 0.002291 0.002939 0.003795 0.005039 0.006849 0.009478 0.013761
2025-11-30 0.002175 0.002842 0.003744 0.005093 0.007125 0.010195 0.015447
2025-12-07 0.002106 0.002801 0.003765 0.005247 0.007557 0.011191 0.017731
2025-12-14 0.001980 0.002671 0.003646 0.005179 0.007634 0.011624 0.019112
2025-12-21 0.001857 0.002535 0.003509 0.005069 0.007629 0.011915 0.020272
2025-12-28 0.001762 0.002434 0.003414 0.005015 0.007705 0.012347 0.021759
2026-01-04 0.001700 0.002376 0.003380 0.005053 0.007939 0.013078 0.023956
2026-01-11 0.001613 0.002281 0.003287 0.004998 0.008020 0.013570 0.025824
2026-01-18 0.001537 0.002198 0.003210 0.004962 0.008135 0.014150 0.028026
2026-01-25 0.001460 0.002109 0.003115 0.004889 0.008173 0.014579 0.029969
2026-02-01 0.001407 0.002053 0.003072 0.004899 0.008366 0.015345 0.032893
2026-02-08 0.001346 0.001982 0.002997 0.004848 0.008433 0.015855 0.035293
2026-02-15 0.001281 0.001901 0.002902 0.004751 0.008400 0.016142 0.037173
2026-02-22 0.001248 0.001870 0.002887 0.004802 0.008668 0.017137 0.041280
2026-03-01 0.001232 0.001867 0.002921 0.004944 0.009141 0.018682 0.047472
2026-03-08 0.001184 0.001806 0.002850 0.004881 0.009170 0.019163 0.050521
2026-03-15 0.001132 0.001738 0.002763 0.004779 0.009103 0.019401 0.052854
2026-03-22 0.001092 0.001687 0.002704 0.004729 0.009147 0.019925 0.056339